Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 56.745523 64.759661 72.987201 82.030588 91.658250 101.570820 112.517587
2026-01-18 43.969367 55.304903 67.519668 81.515296 96.973499 113.405336 132.076861
2026-01-25 36.852189 49.991800 64.673391 81.994003 101.599063 122.866085 147.456696
2026-02-01 30.767865 44.976094 61.412671 81.325621 104.351792 129.760954 159.563815
2026-02-08 26.224448 41.189036 59.070067 81.250295 107.372041 136.610419 171.305247
2026-02-15 22.051464 37.371876 56.296699 80.321468 109.111086 141.762491 180.917064
2026-02-22 19.456641 35.280789 55.396476 81.426638 113.057062 149.302714 193.121592
2026-03-01 17.376579 33.643184 54.888108 82.861798 117.275842 157.066791 205.507468
2026-03-08 14.630566 30.778872 52.581852 81.885966 118.451934 161.161589 213.559682
2026-03-15 12.002381 27.772376 49.861437 80.201270 118.615097 163.942842 219.981646
2026-03-22 11.329500 27.658204 50.993140 83.412308 124.767641 173.819103 234.695458
2026-03-29 10.255419 26.786715 51.001529 85.105951 128.996448 181.368756 246.655995
2026-04-05 8.618139 24.817310 49.377521 84.610331 130.482828 185.649270 254.813917
2026-04-12 7.186077 22.998409 47.845725 84.148501 131.950336 189.867838 262.875320
2026-04-19 6.158413 21.754712 47.062174 84.624278 134.556444 195.431330 272.508728
2026-04-26 5.004255 20.069388 45.498004 83.946220 135.618335 199.059533 279.789205
2026-05-03 4.120585 18.761696 44.417912 83.869194 137.406808 203.544971 288.072819
2026-05-10 3.206071 17.172498 42.778648 82.924040 138.002216 206.510806 294.487398
2026-05-17 2.739003 16.529076 42.617297 84.048695 141.296876 212.818675 304.945078
2026-05-24 2.372641 16.058447 42.704858 85.508998 145.022563 219.658492 316.048818
2026-05-31 1.745211 14.671244 41.150378 84.516093 145.435474 222.314103 322.026701
2026-06-07 1.160568 13.110459 39.165870 82.801705 144.816746 223.623869 326.320329
2026-06-14 1.121879 13.412762 40.511561 86.069100 150.942377 233.477626 341.116701